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OFFICIAL ECONOMIST WARNING: "Brexit-Recession"

Estimated Earliest Recession Starting Phase:
2020-01
Estimated Earliest Housing Market Crisis Starting Phase:
2020-11
Estimated Latest Recession Starting Phase:
2021-06
Estimated Latest Housing Market Crisis Starting Phase:
2022-01
Estimated Earliest Recession Ending Phase:
2022-08
Estimated Latest Recession Ending Phase:
2027-09
Baby Boomers' kids had even more kids; which need a home at age 19.
2036-06
2056-06
NOTE: the fed data charts may accidentally be blocked by internet browser privacy extensions (Privacy Badger) & one may need to "allow" the third-party cookie to make visible the third-party fed charts.

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ALERTS:

COMMENTS:

Last Verified (or future dated): 2019-10-27

TRX
TRX/USD (1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

TRON (TRX) Will Partner With $100B 'Mega Corporation'

TRON (news)(twitter-feed)

BTC
BTC/USDT (1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

On 2019-10-09, the Securities and Exchange Commission has rejected a proposal to create a new bitcoin-backed ETF.

Conclusion: Brexit is going to be a "Brexit-Recession"; in terms of closer toward 2020-06-06 (perhaps by 2020-03-06). The deal may may transition the process. However, now the recession is the key indicator to monitor for now that there is an estimated 13.963 month deal transition; as of 2019-10-17. Perhaps, BTC may bottom around 2019-11-29 to 2020-01; then correct back upward for the BITCOIN Block Reward Cuts in Half event around 2020-04. 8600 is too expensive to "enter" a recession, perhaps & it is hard to time the exact start month of a recession in advance of the BTC increase. Perhaps, 90 or 60 days before the recession starts the BTC price may begin to rise for the short-run; with extremely significant uncertainty (extremely risky with significant price fluctuations). Perhaps, STRONG BUY in to days. However, perhaps prior, one may loose some value. The 2019-11-05 pump occurred after the Chinese President stated to "seize the opportunity" of the technology; however BTC may or may not dump back down to around around 2019-11-05 due to recession delay. No one expected the president to make the statement before the price was expected to rise around 2020-04. The statement changed everything. I think the statement meant to buy BTC in 2019; as by 2020 it is expected to soar around 2020-05.

XRP
XRP/USDT (1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

XRP has an annual SWELL conference on 2019-11-07! However, the price may fall after the event.

USDT
USDT/BTC (1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

USDT while BTC is falling; however BTC will likely rise through 2020-06-06.

GOLD
(1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

Gold was over purchased in the digital form after 2019-05; therefore gold may rise by 2019-11-11.

DOW
(1-week-view)
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

Dow will be delayed closer to the 2020-06-06 recession; then it will likely fall.

LAND

HOLD

Perhaps, a shift to sell will be closer to 2020-06-06 recession.

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Bitcoin (chart)(news)

Technical Analysis for BTCUSDT by Trading View

Bitcoin Futures (news)

Technical Analysis for BTC1! by Trading View
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy
 Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy



Gold Futures (news)

Technical Analysis for GC1! by TradingView

Dow Jones (news)

Technical Analysis for DJI by TradingView
Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy



Ripple (news)

XRPUSDT Chart by TradingView

Ripple (news)

Technical Analysis for XRPUSDT by TradingView
4-hour chart view Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

Ripple (news)

XRPBTC Chart

Ripple (news)

Technical Analysis for XRPBTC
4-hour chart view Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy



Tron (news)

TRXBTC Chart by Trading View

Tron (news)

Technical Analysis for TRXBTC by Trading View
4-hour chart view Sell ___ Neutral ___ Buy

BENNN Chat


BENNN Forecasted Days Since the Top of the Market:
(prior to recession the market may remain flat for months)

Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(2018-01-01 UTC)

BENNN Forecasted Days Since the Top of the Market ENDED (start of recession):


(2020-06-06)
Dow Jones (daily):
The Dow Jones Industrial Average provides a view of the US stock market and economy. Originally, the index was made up of 12 stocks, it now contains 30 component companies in various industries. For more components based information visit their website, http://us.spindices.com/indexology/djia-and-sp-500/?go=industrial-components. For more general information please visit their website, http://us.spindices.com/indexology/djia-and-sp-500?homepage=true. Copyright © 2016, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction of Dow Jones Industrial Average in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P”). S&P does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness or availability of any information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions, regardless of the cause or for the results obtained from the use of such information. S&P DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. In no event shall S&P be liable for any direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or lost profit and opportunity costs) in connection with subscriber’s or others’ use of Dow Jones Industrial Average.(green only for September due to the "Black Friday" event; then red)
 (since: 2017-10-01)

Dow Jones & Gold (monthly) - (Percent Change):
(since: 2011-09-09)
Dow Jones & Gold (daily) - (Percent Change from Year Ago):
(since: 2011-09-09)

Gold; Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power; & Dow Jones... (monthly) - (Percent Change from Year Ago):
(since: 1999-09-09)
Dow Jones; Gold; Effective Federal Funds Rate; & Diesel: New York Harbor... (daily) - (Percent Change):
(since: 2019-06-06)
Federal Debt: Total Public Debt; Dow Jones; Gold; Copper; Bitcoin... (quarterly) - (Compounded Annual Rate of Change):
(since: 2011-09-09)

Dow Jones; Gold; Effective Federal Funds Rate; Diesel: New York Harbor; Bitcoin; Silver; & Ethereum... (daily) - (Percent Change):

(past 16 days)

(since: past 16 days)

Long-Term & Short-Term Treasury Constant Maturity... (daily) - (Percent Change):

(since: 1999-06-06)

(since: 2003-06-06)

Long-Term & Short-Term Treasury Constant Maturity... (daily) - (Percent Change):

(2002-12-06 to 2008-06-06)
Long-Term & Short-Term Treasury Constant Maturity... (daily) - (Percent Change):

(since: 2016-06-06)

Long-Term & Short-Term Treasury Constant Maturity... (daily) - (Percent Change):

(2007-04-06 to 2007-12-06)
Long-Term & Short-Term Treasury Constant Maturity... (daily) - (Percent Change):
  • 30 Year Treasury (daily)
  • 20 Year Treasury (daily)
  • 1 Year Treasury (daily)
  • 6 Month Treasury (daily)
  • 3 Month Treasury (daily)

(since: 2019-06-06)

(2020-06-06)


(since: 2004-06-06)


Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=AiIh


"if unemployment were to be well below our current estimates of the natural rate of unemployment, that would not be a reason to raise interest rates. Unless we see troubling inflation or other imbalances that could threaten the achievement of our mandate."

Video Sources:
one; two



Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=AiFI

(since: 1999-06-06)



Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=AiJg

(since: 2019-06-06)



Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=AiHP

(since: 1999-06-06)





GREETINGS... IS ONE READY FOR THE Q1 2020 MEGA EVENT? NEED MORE TIME... PERHAPS, one must time it all right.

Update: The 2020 even has passed; however future opportunities will appear as time passes.


Estimated Bitcoin (BTC) STRONG BUY will NOT begin until after . Which is from to .

Estimated 100% BITCOIN Block Reward Cuts in Half - MEGA, SUPER BTC pump (naturally / technically / fundamentally) event is Complete Status. [VIEW CLOCK] estimated: 2020-04-30

Estimated 100% "Recession" is Official Status. Then the migrants will flow like clean, pure, running water (EU please send housing aid to Turkey).
estimated: 2020-06-06


BLACK FRIDAY! MEGA CONSUMER SPENDING DATE!

Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(yellow for October Brexit then red)

(2019-11-29 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 1 of 3) (Earliest) Start Date:(green status: IF Brexit is delayed until 2020-06-06)(2020-12-19 UTC)
Population; Retail Employees; & E-commerce Retail:
 This series is constructed as Advance Retail and Food Services Sales (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RSAFS) deflated using the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (1982-84=100) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL).
(since: 2006-06-06)
Wave I:
(2020-12-19 UTC)
Wave II:
(2025-06-06 UTC)
(Expect a rise in oil.)
(2020-06-06 UTC)

"We are committed to the Aramco IPO, given the proper circumstances and the right time," the crown prince told Saudi newspaper Asharq Al Awsat in June. "It will happen between 2020 and early 2021, and setting the location of the IPO now is premature."
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 2 of 3) (Midpoint or perhaps the official based off of 8-months from Inverted Yield Curve) Start Date: (2020-06-06 UTC)



BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 3 of 3) (Latest) Start Date:(2021-06-06 UTC)
BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 1 of 2) (Earliest) End Date:(2022-08-06 UTC)


BENNN Forecasted Recession (Part 2 of 2) (Latest) End Date:(2027-09-09 UTC)


AI Takeover
Wave I:
(2025-06-06 UTC)
Wave II:
(2033-06-06 UTC)
Effective Funds Rate (monthly):
The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. When a depository institution has surplus balances in its reserve account, it lends to other banks in need of larger balances. In simpler terms, a bank with excess cash, which is often referred to as liquidity, will lend to another bank that needs to quickly raise liquidity. (1) The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate.(2) The effective federal funds rate is essentially determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target.(2) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate. As previously stated, this rate influences the effective federal funds rate through open market operations or by buying and selling of government bonds (government debt).(2) More specifically, the Federal Reserve decreases liquidity by selling government bonds, thereby raising the federal funds rate because banks have less liquidity to trade with other banks. Similarly, the Federal Reserve can increase liquidity by buying government bonds, decreasing the federal funds rate because banks have excess liquidity for trade. Whether the Federal Reserve wants to buy or sell bonds depends on the state of the economy. If the FOMC believes the economy is growing too fast and inflation pressures are inconsistent with the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, the Committee may set a higher federal funds rate target to temper economic activity. In the opposing scenario, the FOMC may set a lower federal funds rate target to spur greater economic activity. Therefore, the FOMC must observe the current state of the economy to determine the best course of monetary policy that will maximize economic growth while adhering to the dual mandate set forth by Congress. In making its monetary policy decisions, the FOMC considers a wealth of economic data, such as: trends in prices and wages, employment, consumer spending and income, business investments, and foreign exchange markets. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. Additionally, the federal funds rate indirectly influences longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence.(2) References (1) Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Federal funds.” Fedpoints, August 2007. (2) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Monetary Policy”. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm.
(since: 2004-06-06)



Effective Funds Rate (daily):
The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. When a depository institution has surplus balances in its reserve account, it lends to other banks in need of larger balances. In simpler terms, a bank with excess cash, which is often referred to as liquidity, will lend to another bank that needs to quickly raise liquidity. (1) The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate.(2) The effective federal funds rate is essentially determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target.(2) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate. As previously stated, this rate influences the effective federal funds rate through open market operations or by buying and selling of government bonds (government debt).(2) More specifically, the Federal Reserve decreases liquidity by selling government bonds, thereby raising the federal funds rate because banks have less liquidity to trade with other banks. Similarly, the Federal Reserve can increase liquidity by buying government bonds, decreasing the federal funds rate because banks have excess liquidity for trade. Whether the Federal Reserve wants to buy or sell bonds depends on the state of the economy. If the FOMC believes the economy is growing too fast and inflation pressures are inconsistent with the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, the Committee may set a higher federal funds rate target to temper economic activity. In the opposing scenario, the FOMC may set a lower federal funds rate target to spur greater economic activity. Therefore, the FOMC must observe the current state of the economy to determine the best course of monetary policy that will maximize economic growth while adhering to the dual mandate set forth by Congress. In making its monetary policy decisions, the FOMC considers a wealth of economic data, such as: trends in prices and wages, employment, consumer spending and income, business investments, and foreign exchange markets. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. Additionally, the federal funds rate indirectly influences longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence.(2) References (1) Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Federal funds.” Fedpoints, August 2007. (2) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Monetary Policy”. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm.
(since: 2019-06-06)
BENNN Forecasted Effective Federal Funds Rate (1955 to 2066):
Averages of daily figures. The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions trade federal funds (balances held at Federal Reserve Banks) with each other overnight. When a depository institution has surplus balances in its reserve account, it lends to other banks in need of larger balances. In simpler terms, a bank with excess cash, which is often referred to as liquidity, will lend to another bank that needs to quickly raise liquidity. (1) The rate that the borrowing institution pays to the lending institution is determined between the two banks; the weighted average rate for all of these types of negotiations is called the effective federal funds rate.(2) The effective federal funds rate is essentially determined by the market but is influenced by the Federal Reserve through open market operations to reach the federal funds rate target.(2) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year to determine the federal funds target rate. As previously stated, this rate influences the effective federal funds rate through open market operations or by buying and selling of government bonds (government debt).(2) More specifically, the Federal Reserve decreases liquidity by selling government bonds, thereby raising the federal funds rate because banks have less liquidity to trade with other banks. Similarly, the Federal Reserve can increase liquidity by buying government bonds, decreasing the federal funds rate because banks have excess liquidity for trade. Whether the Federal Reserve wants to buy or sell bonds depends on the state of the economy. If the FOMC believes the economy is growing too fast and inflation pressures are inconsistent with the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve, the Committee may set a higher federal funds rate target to temper economic activity. In the opposing scenario, the FOMC may set a lower federal funds rate target to spur greater economic activity. Therefore, the FOMC must observe the current state of the economy to determine the best course of monetary policy that will maximize economic growth while adhering to the dual mandate set forth by Congress. In making its monetary policy decisions, the FOMC considers a wealth of economic data, such as: trends in prices and wages, employment, consumer spending and income, business investments, and foreign exchange markets. The federal funds rate is the central interest rate in the U.S. financial market. It influences other interest rates such as the prime rate, which is the rate banks charge their customers with higher credit ratings. Additionally, the federal funds rate indirectly influences longer- term interest rates such as mortgages, loans, and savings, all of which are very important to consumer wealth and confidence.(2) References (1) Federal Reserve Bank of New York. “Federal funds.” Fedpoints, August 2007. (2) Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. “Monetary Policy”. http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/default.htm.

(2044-06-06 UTC)
Recession (monthly):
Smoothed recession probabilities for the United States are obtained from a dynamic-factor markov-switching model applied to four monthly coincident variables: non-farm payroll employment, the index of industrial production, real personal income excluding transfer payments, and real manufacturing and trade sales. This model was originally developed in Chauvet, M., "An Economic Characterization of Business Cycle Dynamics with Factor Structure and Regime Switching," International Economic Review, 1998, 39, 969-996. (http://faculty.ucr.edu/~chauvet/ier.pdf)(since: 2009-08-01)
Gold (daily):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2015-11-11)
Population versus Total Retail Employees:
 This series is constructed as Advance Retail and Food Services Sales (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RSAFS) deflated using the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (1982-84=100) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL).
(since: 1990-01-06)
GDP (quarterly):
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more information about this series, please see http://www.bea.gov/national/.(since: 2002-06-06)

GDP (quarterly):
Gross domestic product (GDP) is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more information about this series, please see http://www.bea.gov/national/.(since: 1947-06-06)



(Expect a rise in water.)
 
(2050-06-06 UTC)
Crude Oil (daily):

(since: 2002-01-06)
BTC (daily):
(since: 2018-12-13)
BENNN Forecasted Global Population:

(2044-06-06 UTC)
Total Retail Employees:
The series comes from the 'Current Employment Statistics (Establishment Survey).(since: 1998-11-11)
Total Retail Employees:
The series comes from the 'Current Employment Statistics (Establishment Survey).(since: 1986-09-06)
Domestic Vehicles Sold:
Autos are all passenger cars, including station wagons. Domestic sales are all United States (U.S.) sales of vehicles assembled in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico.
(since: 1972-10-18)
E-Commerce Retail:
 E-commerce sales are sales of goods and services where the buyer places an order, or the price and terms of the sale are negotiated over an Internet, mobile device (M-commerce), extranet, Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) network, electronic mail, or other comparable online system. Payment may or may not be made online.
(since: 2006-06-06)
Real Retail & Food:
 This series is constructed as Advance Retail and Food Services Sales (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RSAFS) deflated using the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (1982-84=100) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL).
(since: 1999-01-06)
Retail Money Funds:
The retail money funds component of M2 is constructed from weekly data collected by the Investment Company Institute (ICI), a trade association for the investment company industry. The retail money funds component of M2 excludes IRA and Keogh balances held at MMMFs, which are reported by ICI on a quarterly basis.
(green for September; then yellow)
(since: 1999-01-06)

TOTAL Chart
(2-hour view)

YELLOW VEST MOVEMENT

[ACTIVATED]

On 2018-11-17, it was a very cold & eerie early morning. The Yellow Vest Movement began. The timeline is growing rapidly (search news or search LIVE video or search LiveLeak). This looks like the early 1930's as the roaring 1920's are over.


Days : Hours : Min. : Sec.
(since: 2018-11-17)
TOTAL Chart
(2-hour view)

Recession Start Date: 2020-06-06

 

Diesel Fuel (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)
Regular & Diesel Fuel (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Regular; Diesel; & Reformulated Fuel for East, Midwest, & West Coast (weekly):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Real Exports & Imports (quarterly):

(since: 2018-06-06)
Federal Debt: Total Public Debt (annually: end of period):

(since: 2019-06-06)

Invest in American land?... Perhaps, buy the dip?

Orlando Housing Status:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Connecticut Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
California Housing:
 Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
Houses Sold Status:
(since: 2002-06-06)
National Housing:

(since: 2002-06-06)
Ohio Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Pennsylvania Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
West Virginia Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.
(since: 2002-06-06)
Kentucky Housing:
Estimated using sales prices and appraisal data.(since: 2002-06-06)
Michigan Housing:

(since: 2002-06-06)

Delinquency Rates:

(since: 2006-06-06)

E-commerce Rates: Percent Change: Annual Average... A different view... perhaps, this paints an entirely different picture.

(since: 2001-09-11)

Population versus Employment

(since: 1999-09-09)

Population versus Employment

(since: 1966-06-06)

(Housing Market News Article Explanation)

Population versus Affordable Housing & Employment

(since: 1966-06-06)

BTC Trend Analysis

Bitcoin & Total Crypto Market Analysis

Invest in Gold?... Perhaps, the last dip ends in soon?





BLACK FRIDAY - LARGEST CONSUMER SPENDING DAY

Gold - Real-Time USD Status (one-hour view)(present):

(red for 2019-09 only; then green)

(one-hour view)

Gold - Real-Time USD Status (five-min view)(present):

(red for 2019-09 only; then green)

(five-min view)







Perhaps, the Gold ETF (GLD) reflects too many buyers in too short of a duration in time (they were selfish & bought too much too quickly before Black Friday; which is the largest consumer spending period of the year). Black Friday will in fact stimulate the economy like a mega, mega, mega, super extraordinary pump/buy event or it will be disappointing. Perhaps, the price of Gold may decrease to around $1366 (very lowest point) in late 2019-09 & remain relatively flat from 2019-10 until 2012-12-29. Relatively flat; such as:

$1366 ultra-low;

$1406 low;

$1436 midpoint; &

max by 2019-12-29 at $1599.


2020 & 2021 prices should remain above 2019 prices; based off of annual averages.

 

(red for 2019-09 only; then green)

(one-day view)



Gold ETF Volatility Rates:

(since: 2008-06-06)





BENNN Gold Forecast

Click BUY (email me) to purchase the

premium BENNN Gold Forecast 1920 to 2055

(2019-04 edition)

pay in BTC, only $6.66 USD.

Forecast Updated: 2019-08-19

 2019-08-29
$1536 USD
Note: 90 days before black friday. Many may sell gold to pump dow via BLACK FRIDAY mega sale "fuel". Perhaps, the last dip before the recession will be around 2019-09-29. Friday 2019-08-28 perhaps has seen a price increase due tothe fact that last Friday it fell down through the weekend. Therefore, by Sunday, late night, 2019-08-25 perhaps will be the lowest point or Sunday, late night, 2019-09-01 or 2019-09-08 or 2019-09-15 or 2019-09-22.
REMINDER: BREXIT is coming or may be delayed. If BREXIT is NOT delayed; this will shift prices sooner than later.
2019-09-29
$1406 USD
Note: 60 days before black friday.
2019-10-29
$1499 USD
Note: 30 days before black friday.
2019-11-29
$1566 USD
Note: 0 days before black friday.
2019-12-29
$1636 USD
Note: 30 days after black friday. Perhaps, "TV mindful program awareness" will illuminate all of the black friday & YTD data.
2020-01-29
$1666 USD
Note: 66 days after black friday. Perhaps, everyone will have fueled the Dow. Perhaps, money supply increases to fuel Dow & lower Gold by selling gold to Dow with increase of money supplied sold into Dow. That could, perhaps, by 12 months for the American election to be cleared of a pre-election recession nightmare. And it would be nice to get just one more year. SO... Gold may correct from the EARLY MASSIVE INCREASE of buyers just like it did in 1973.
2020-02-29
"$1466 USD (or $1766 IF the recession starts on 2020-01-06)" & "WARNING: Brexit may cause an early (2020 instead of 2021) recession!"
Note: 99 days after black friday. Perhaps, "TV mindful program awareness" will illuminate all of the black friday & YTD data that will enable more time (delay recession to 2021) to buy OR not & the recession will start in 2020 instead of the 2021 idea.

BENNN Gold Forecast

Forecast Updated: 2019-09-09
Sunday, September 1, 2019
$1533
Sunday, September 8, 2019
$1515
--------- ------ ---perhaps last buy Wednesday, Sept 11, 2019 based off of 1-Hour-view
--------- ------ ---perhaps last buy Thursday, Sept 12, 2019 based off of 1-min-view
--------- ------ ---perhaps last buy Friday, Sept 13, 2019 based off of 30-&-45-min-view

Estimated Buy Alerts at $1466:

Sunday, September 15, 2019

$1490

Sunday, September 22, 2019

$1480

Sunday, September 29, 2019

$1470

Sunday, October 6, 2019

$1480

Sunday, October 13, 2019

$1490

Estimated Hold Alerts at $1466 to $1866 or above:

--------- ------ ---perhaps last buy Friday, Sept 20, 2019 based off of 45-min-view
Sunday, October 20, 2019
$1500
Sunday, October 27, 2019
$1510
Sunday, November 3, 2019
$1520

GOLD

Forecast Updated: 2020-04-14

Gold is pegged to COVID19 for now. If and only if, COVID19 cases per day continue to decline from 2020-04 to 2020-02, then we could see GOLD prices FALL from 2020-05 to BLACK FRIDAY on 2020-11-29). So (if & only if a decline in COVID19 cases per day as speculated) many firms may choose to SELL GOLD to "fuel" BLACK FRIDAY's SUPER MEGA PUMP DAY OF THE YEAR EVENT by: SELLING GOLD from 2020-08-16 through 2020-09-16.
However, from 2020-09-01 through 2020-09-29 would likely be the last dip at this level before 2022 or 2023.

Gold - Daily Status (present):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2015-11-11)
Gold - Daily Status (present):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2018-09-29)

Gold - Daily Status (past) (2008 / 2009 Great Recession I):

(2007-09-29 to 2011-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (present) (2020 / 2021 Great Recession II):

(red for September only; then green)
(since: 2018-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (1990 / 1991 recession):

(1990-06-29 to 1991-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (2001 recession):

(2000-09-29 to 2006-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status (past) (1973 / 1974 / 1975 recession):

(1973-05-06 to 1975-09-29)
Gold - Daily Status  (past) (1979 / 1980 recession):

(1979-08-29 to 1980-09-29)

Published: 2019-08-12 - Updated: 2019-08-13

(red for September only; then green)


GOLD UPDATE: Perhaps, Gold is being over purchased slightly too early? Exactly like it was around 1973 (see chart - below); during the end of the gold standard. Meaning: gold can lower & the recession can be delayed up to about 2021-01-06 instead of 2020-01-06 (after the American election too). They can perhaps: print money; buy gold; sell gold; buy dow; sell dow; buy gold; & allow dow to fall after the election. Black Friday 2020 would be "wonderful" as "everyone" would "stock up for the recession".


Gold - Daily Status (past) (1973 / 1974 / 1975 recession):

(1973-05-06 to 1975-09-29)

Humans are so excited to buy the Gold that it is still before the largest day of the year for consumer spending & producer supplying (mega "BLACK FRIDAY" event). However, retail is still holding value (see chart - below).

Retail Money Funds:
The retail money funds component of M2 is constructed from weekly data collected by the Investment Company Institute (ICI), a trade association for the investment company industry. The retail money funds component of M2 excludes IRA and Keogh balances held at MMMFs, which are reported by ICI on a quarterly basis.
(green for September; then yellow)
(since: 1999-01-06)

Perhaps, E-commerce is helping (in some ways) with the positive delay.

E-Commerce Retail:
 E-commerce sales are sales of goods and services where the buyer places an order, or the price and terms of the sale are negotiated over an Internet, mobile device (M-commerce), extranet, Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) network, electronic mail, or other comparable online system. Payment may or may not be made online.
(since: 2006-06-06)

Therefore, many corporations may perhaps sell the Gold to "fuel" the Black Friday mega event of the year. So there perhaps may be a tiny correction or dip from 2019-08-16 through 2019-09-16. 

However, from 2019-09-01 through 2019-09-29 would likely be the last dip at this level before 2021 or 2022.

Published: 2019-06-19 - Updated: 2019-06-23

Gold Comments: Perhaps, gold reaches a short-term peak by 2019-06-29; however I expect at least only one more dip prior to 2020-01-06. Perhaps, gold will be sold by 2019-11-06 to fuel "Black Friday" (2019-11-29). Historically speaking, a massive spending event enables gold to dip one last time; while the onset of a 2020-01-06 recession enables the gold to return to higher levels around 2019-11-11 to 2021-06-06 (for 12 to 36 months).

One more factor: Perhaps, a short-term massive Gold sell off to convert to DJIA (only after 2019-09-19 or by 2019-11-11 as a short-term special stimulus)(search), so that the next fall of the DJIA will be delayed with the attempt to try & save it one last time prior to the massive natural recession corrections as they illuminate within linear time.

Perhaps, the next gold dip will be on 2019-07-04 to 2019-10-31 (yes; "Halloween" the next Brexit date). Perhaps, the gold bottom (historical chart) will be around 2019-09-09. However, if oil prices DO NOT RISE enough for Saudi Arabia, then they could almost run out of money (purchasing power) by 2020-06-06 ().

Perhaps, there will be a large war (map) in Iran that causes oil prices to soar to over $100 per barrel. Iran almost runs out of money (search) by 2021-06-06. Then Saudi Arabia might not almost run out of money by 2020-06-06 (). May the one God (one original root source of all) guide & protect all humans during these dates.

BENNN Forecasted WWIII Start Date:

Conclusion: I feel that a massive (perhaps even man-made) gold dip will occur at least one more time after 2019-07-03 to "confuse" investors or it will just naturally dip.

Special select date: 2020-11-03 is "The American Presidential Election").

These comments are not a promise, but my personal ideas... on what it "feels like" & "looks like" "Gold is doing" & "why". ;-)

Published: 2019-06-19 - Updated: 2019-06-23

Gold; DJIA; Gas; Housing; Retail; BTC - Monthly Status:

(since: 2018-06-06)

Gold; DJIA; Gas; Housing; Retail; USD/BTC; USD/EURO; USD/CNY; USD/SEK; USD/NZD; USD/NOK; USD/ETH - (mostly daily) Status:

(since: 2018-06-06)



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