economy
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|
Council
on Foreign Relations:
| 2019-06-25
|
| Economic Club: | 2019-01-10 |
| Joint Economic Committee: | 2018-12-05 (postponed)|
| Monetary Policy Actions: | 2018-09-26 |
| Monetary Policy and the Economy: | 2018-07-18 | 2018-07-17 | 2019-01-04 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-03-20 | 2019-05-01 | 2019-07-10 | 2019-07-11 |
| News Conference: | 2018-06-13 | 2018-12-19 | 2019-01-30| 2019-06-19 |
| The Atlantic Festival: | 2018-10-03 |
| Town Hall: | 2019-02-06 |
NOTE: IF THE FED CHARTS DO NOT LOAD BELOW... IT MAY BE ONE OF THE INTERNET BROWSER EXTENSIONS (such as Privacy Badger) THAT IS SIMPLY BLOCKING THIRD-PARTY SITE ACCESS IN ERROR THINKING IT IS NOT WANTED THIRD PARTY DATA. HOWEVER, IN THIS CASE WE WANT THE FED AS THIRD PARTY DATA VISIBLE VIA BENNN ECONOMY DOMAIN.
| Economic Club: | 2019-01-10 |
| Joint Economic Committee: | 2018-12-05 (postponed)|
| Monetary Policy Actions: | 2018-09-26 |
| Monetary Policy and the Economy: | 2018-07-18 | 2018-07-17 | 2019-01-04 | 2019-02-27 | 2019-03-20 | 2019-05-01 | 2019-07-10 | 2019-07-11 |
| News Conference: | 2018-06-13 | 2018-12-19 | 2019-01-30| 2019-06-19 |
| The Atlantic Festival: | 2018-10-03 |
| Town Hall: | 2019-02-06 |
NOTE: IF THE FED CHARTS DO NOT LOAD BELOW... IT MAY BE ONE OF THE INTERNET BROWSER EXTENSIONS (such as Privacy Badger) THAT IS SIMPLY BLOCKING THIRD-PARTY SITE ACCESS IN ERROR THINKING IT IS NOT WANTED THIRD PARTY DATA. HOWEVER, IN THIS CASE WE WANT THE FED AS THIRD PARTY DATA VISIBLE VIA BENNN ECONOMY DOMAIN.

BENNN
Money: |
HINT:
Ctrl +/- to zoom.
Greater
than Past 12 Months (custom) |
Peaks (2017-10) to Present
(custom) |
Coinbase
Index (CBCCIND)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression
Start Dates:
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Coinbase
Index (CBCCIND)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Coinbase
Bitcoin (CBBTCUSD)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression
Start Dates:
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Coinbase
Bitcoin (CBBTCUSD)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Median
Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression
Start Dates:
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Median
Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Median Sales
Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
(prior to depression the market may remain flat for months) Days : Hours : Min. : Sec. (2018-01-01 06:00 UTC) |
Median Sales
Price for New Houses Sold in the United States (MSPNHSUS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
(prior to depression the market may remain flat for months) Days : Hours : Min. : Sec. (2018-01-01 06:00 UTC) |
Median Sales
Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Median Sales
Price of Existing Homes (HOSMEDUSM052N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Florida Housing Market -
BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1997 to 2033)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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The
BENNN Forecast of the Florida Housing Market (see
forecast chart left) is equating (perhaps one may
argue) the onset of a new (future) depression by the time the
Interest Rates Reach closer toward 228 to 240 for the Florida
Housing Data as shown on the forecast. If
needed, one may wish to illuminate/view the housing data: Freddie
Mac Research Site or their spreadsheet
(.xls data file). It
may never reach 6% before it corrects back downward during the
future/next depression (estimate 2020/2021). It may only reach
about 4% as the 2001 recession reached about 6.5% and the 2008
recession reach about 5%, therefore if trend continues it may
be about 4%. However the risk is between 3% and 6% in recent
historical trend data.
BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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All-Transactions
House Price Index for Florida (FLSTHPI)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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All-Transactions
House Price Index for Florida (FLSTHPI)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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S&P/Case-Shiller
20-City Composite Home Price Index (SPCS20RSA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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S&P/Case-Shiller
20-City Composite Home Price Index (SPCS20RSA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Monthly Supply of
Houses in the United States (MSACSR)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Monthly Supply of
Houses in the United States (MSACSR)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Housing
Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started
(HOUST)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Housing Starts:
Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started (HOUST)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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New Private
Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits (PERMIT)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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New Private
Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits (PERMIT)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Special
Unemployment Rate: Unemployed and Discouraged Workers
(U4RATE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Special
Unemployment Rate: Unemployed and Discouraged Workers
(U4RATE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Civilian
Labor Force Participation Rate (CIVPART)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate (CIVPART)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Civilian
Labor Force Participation Rate: 16 to 19 years (LNU01300012)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate: 16 to 19 years (LNU01300012)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate: 25 to 54 years (LNS11300060)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate: 25 to 54 years (LNS11300060)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate: 55 years and over (LNS11324230)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Civilian Labor
Force Participation Rate: 55 years and over (LNS11324230)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (CPIAUCSL)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Consumer Price
Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (CPIAUCSL)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Effective
Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Effective Federal
Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Effective Federal Funds Rate
- BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1994 to 2022)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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The BENNN Forecast of the
Effective Federal Funds Rate (see
forecast chart left) is equating (perhaps one may
argue) the onset of a new (future) depression by the time the
Interest Rates Reach closer toward 3% to 6%. It
may never reach 6% before it corrects back downward during the
future/next depression (estimate 2020/2021). It may only reach
about 4% as the 2001 recession reached about 6.5% and the 2008
recession reach about 5%, therefore if trend continues it may
be about 4%. However the risk is between 3% and 6% in recent
historical trend data.
BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Effective
Federal Funds Rate (FEDFUNDS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Effective
Federal Funds Rate - BENNN Forecasted Trend Analysis (1955
to 2066)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Median
Consumer Price Index (MEDCPIM158SFRBCLE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Median Consumer
Price Index (MEDCPIM158SFRBCLE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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All
Employees: Total Nonfarm Payrolls (PAYEMS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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All Employees:
Total Nonfarm Payrolls (PAYEMS)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Real
Gross Domestic Product (A191RL1Q225SBEA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Real Gross
Domestic Product (A191RL1Q225SBEA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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St.
Louis Fed Financial Stress Index (STLFSI)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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St. Louis Fed
Financial Stress Index (STLFSI)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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U.S.
/ Euro Foreign Exchange Rate (DEXUSEU)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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U.S. / Euro
Foreign Exchange Rate (DEXUSEU)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power of the
Consumer Dollar (CUUR0000SA0R)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Consumer
Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Purchasing Power of the
Consumer Dollar (CUUR0000SA0R)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Federal
Minimum Wage Rate Relative to Purchasing Power - BENNN
Forecasted Trend Analysis (1936 to 2036)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Federal
Minimum Wage Rate under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act
(STTMINWGFG)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Federal
Minimum Wage Rate under the Federal Fair Labor Standards Act
(STTMINWGFG)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Smoothed
U.S. Recession Probabilities (RECPROUSM156N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Smoothed U.S.
Recession Probabilities (RECPROUSM156N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Dates
of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession
indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Dates of
U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator
(JHDUSRGDPBR)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Dow
Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Dow Jones
Industrial Average (DJIA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Gold Fixing Price
10:30 A.M. (London time) in London Bullion Market, based in
U.S. Dollars (GOLDAMGBD228NLBM)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Gold Fixing Price
10:30 A.M. (London time) in London Bullion Market, based in
U.S. Dollars (GOLDAMGBD228NLBM)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Total
Reserves excluding Gold for China (TRESEGCNM052N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Total Reserves
excluding Gold for China (TRESEGCNM052N)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Nonfinancial
corporate business; debt securities; liability, Level
(NCBDBIQ027S)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Nonfinancial
corporate business; debt securities; liability, Level
(NCBDBIQ027S)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Nonfinancial
Corporate Business; Credit Market Debt as a Percentage of
the Market Value of Corporate Equities (NCBCMDPMVCE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Nonfinancial
Corporate Business; Credit Market Debt as a Percentage of
the Market Value of Corporate Equities (NCBCMDPMVCE)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Personal
Consumption Expenditures excluding Food and Energy
(chain-type price index) (BPCCRO1Q156NBEA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Personal
Consumption Expenditures excluding Food and Energy
(chain-type price index) (BPCCRO1Q156NBEA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Real
Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Real Personal
Consumption Expenditures (PCEC96)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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All
Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (WALCL)![]() The All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (above) is estimated to slowly shift downwards from 2018 to around 2022 as of October 2018 (for now and can shift at any time) trend rate. BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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All Federal
Reserve Banks: Total Assets (WALCL)![]() The All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets (above) is estimated to slowly shift downwards from 2018 to around 2022 as of October 2018 (for now and can shift at any time) trend rate. BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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Total
Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression Start Dates:
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Total Vehicle Sales (TOTALSA)![]() BENNN Forecasted Depression End Dates:
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